Croatia is the new favourite to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2024 surpassing long-time favourites Ukraine this week.
Baby Lasagna from Croatia is the new favourite to win the 68th edition of the Eurovision Song Contest this May in Sweden. Croatia saw its chance of victory increase by nearly 4 percentage points across this week and pass Ukraine on Thursday.
This week so far has also seen the release of five songs selected internally they are Austria, Cyprus, Netherlands, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. There’s been a mixed reaction from the betting public to the entries.
Switzerland has climbed four places to enter the top ten favourites to take victory this May. In contrast, Cyprus and the United Kingdom have both seen their percentage chance of victory fall.
The current percentage chance of winning Eurovision 2024 according to Eurovision World are as follows (change since February 26):
- Croatia – Baby Lasagna – “Rim Tim Tagi Dim” – 14.0% (+1 place, +3.1%)
- Ukraine – Alyona Alyona and Jerry Heil – “Teresa & Maria” – 13.7% (-1 place, -2.8%)
- Iceland – TBD – 8.9% (+1 place, +3.7%)
- Italy – Angelina Mango – “La noia” – 7.5% (-1 place, -0.6%)
- Belgium – Mustii – “Before the Party’s Over” – 4.6% (-0.1%)
- Sweden – TBD – 4.2% (-0.2%)
- United Kingdom – Olly Alexander – “Dizzy” – 4.3% (-0.7%)
- France – Slimane – “Mon amour” – 3.5% (-0.4%)
- Switzerland – TBA – 2.7% (+4 places, +0.6%)
- Lithuania – Silvest Belt – “Luktelk” – 3.3% (-1 place)
- Georgia – Nutsa Buzaladze – TBA – 2.6% (+3 places, +0.3%)
- Austria – Kaleen – “We Will Rave” – 2.7% (+0.2%)
- Norway – Gåte – “Ulveham” – 2.5% (-3 places, -0.8%)
- Israel – Eden Golan – TBA – 2.2% (-3 places, -0.6%)
- Greece – Marina Satti – TBA – 2% (+2 places)
- Ireland – Bambie Thug – “Doomsday Blue” – 2.1% (-1 place, -0.1%)
- Australia – TBA – 1.9% (+1 place)
- Netherlands – Joost Klein – “Europapa” – 1.5% (+3 places, +0.3%)
- Armenia – TBA – 1.7% (+1 place, -0.1%)
- Finland – Windows95man – “No Rules!” – 1.6% (-4 places, -0.4%)
- Cyprus – Silia Kapsis – “Liar” – 1.4% (-1 place, -0.1%)
- Azerbaijan – TBA – 1.3% (-0.2%)
- Estonia – 5miinust and Puuluup – “(Nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi” – 0.9% (-0.5%)
- Serbia – TBD – 0.8% (+1 place)
- Spain – Nebulossa – “Zorra” – 0.8% (-1 place, -0.3%)
- Poland – Luna – “The Tower” – 0.8%
- Germany – Isaak – “Always on the Run” – 0.6% (-0.2%)
- Slovenia – Raiven – “Veronika” – 0.7% (+1 place)
- Denmark – Saba – “Sand” – 0.7% (-1 place, -0.1%)
- Latvia – Dons – “Hollow” – 0.6% (+1 place)
- San Marino – Megara – “11:11” – 0.6% (-1 place)
- Portugal – TBD – 0.6%
- Luxembourg – Tali – “Fighter” – 0.6%
- Moldova – Natalia Barbu – “In the Middle” – 0.4%
- Czechia – Aiko – “Pedestal” – 0.4% (+1 place)
- Malta – Sarah Bonnici – “Loop” – 0.4% (-1 place)
- Albania – Besa – “Zemrën n’dorë” – 0.4%
Image Source: Renato Branđolica / HRT | Source: Eurovision World
