Earlier today we took a look at the qualification records of the countries in this years semi final. Now it’s time to look at the slots in the first semi final. We’ll be looking at the results from 2008 to 2013, in 2008 the two semi final system was introduced.
Slot 1:
Results:
- 2008 – 14/19
- 2009 – 11/18
- 2010 – 10/17
- 2011 – 19/19
- 2012 – 15/18
- 2013 – 14/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 13.5
Slot 2:
Results:
- 2008 – 5/19
- 2009 – 18/18
- 2010 – 7/17
- 2011 – 17/19
- 2012 – 8/18
- 2013 – 10/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 10.5
Slot 3:
Results:
- 2008 – 18/19
- 2009 – 17/18
- 2010 – 14/17
- 2011 – 14/17
- 2012 – 4/18
- 2013 – 16/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 15.25
Slot 4:
Results:
- 2008 – 12/19
- 2009 – 13/18
- 2010 – 16/17
- 2011 – 12/17
- 2012 – 16/18
- 2013 – 13/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 13.5
Slot 5:
Results:
- 2008 – 19/19
- 2009 – 4/18
- 2010 – 11/17
- 2011 – 13/19
- 2012 – 2/18
- 2013 – 1/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 7.5
Slot 6:
Results:
- 2008 – 17/19
- 2009 – 5/18
- 2010 – 17/17
- 2011 – 8/19
- 2012 – 3/18
- 2013 – 2/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 8.25
Slot 7:
Results:
- 2008 – 6/19
- 2009 – 15/18
- 2010 – 5/17
- 2011 – 9/19
- 2012 – 11/18
- 2013 – 3/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 7.75
Slot 8:
Results:
- 2008 – 11/19
- 2009 – 14/18
- 2010 – 8/17
- 2011 – 10/19
- 2012 – 17/18
- 2013 – 6/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 10.75
Slot 9:
Results:
- 2008 – 4/19
- 2009 – 2/18
- 2010 – 13/17
- 2011 – 6/19
- 2012 – 12/18
- 2013 – 12/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 8.5
Slot 10:
Results:
- 2008 – 10/19
- 2009 – 7/18
- 2010 – 1/17
- 2011 – 3/19
- 2012 – 12/18
- 2013 – 9/16
Average result removing best and worst result -7.25
Slot 11:
Results:
- 2008 – 15/19
- 2009 – 16/18
- 2010 – 12/17
- 2011 – 11/17
- 2012 – 14/17
- 2013 – 7/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 13
Slot 12:
Results:
- 2008 – 16/19
- 2009 – 1/18
- 2010 – 6/17
- 2011 – 16/19
- 2012 – 7/18
- 2013 – 4/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 8.25
Slot 13:
Results:
- 2008 – 9/19
- 2009 – 10/18
- 2010 – 2/17
- 2011 – 15/19
- 2012 – 9/18
- 2013 – 8/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 9
Slot 14:
Results:
- 2008 – 2/19
- 2009 – 9/18
- 2010 – 4/17
- 2011 – 4/19
- 2012 – 1/18
- 2013 – 15/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 4.75
Slot 15:
Results:
- 2008 – 13/19
- 2009 – 12/18
- 2010 – 15/17
- 2011 – 5/19
- 2012 – 10/18
- 2013 – 5/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 10
Slot 16:
Results:
- 2008 – 8/19
- 2009 – 8/18
- 2010 – 9/17
- 2011 – 18/19
- 2012 – 18/18
- 2013 – 11/16
Average result removing best and worst result – 11.5
So that means that on success rate the running order slots from most successful to least successful are:
- Slot 14 – 4.75
- Slot 10 – 7.25
- Slot 5 – 7.5
- Slot 7 – 7.75
- Slot 12 – 8.25
- Slot 6 – 8.25
- Slot 9 – 8.5
- Slot 13 – 9
- Slot 15 – 10
- Slot 2 – 10.5
- Slot 8 – 10.75
- Slot 16 – 11.5
- Slot 11 – 13
- Slot 1 – 13.5
- Slot 4 – 13.5
- Slot 3 – 15.25
So if that translates into the results tonight exactly the qualifiers would be:
- Netherlands
- Belgium
- Iceland
- Russia
- San Marino
- Albania
- Ukraine
- Portugal
- Montenegro
- Latvia
Do you agree with what the running order says or not?
I like this.
Greetings from the Netherlands!
i like it! i always wanted Russia to qualify for the final this year.
I see one mistake: Running order no. 12 for 2013 should be: 4/8 and not 4/16
And in 2012 no. 3 should be 4/15
Certainly running order makes a difference, but there is such as thing as over-analyzing.