With just over an hour to go until Semi-Final One of the Eurovision Song Contest 2019, here are the ten nations predicated to qualify.
The top ten remains the same as before the Jury show yesterday, evening however a number of nations at the lower half of the top ten are now borderline qualifers. Estonia has fallen back 5% points, while Poland who sit as 11th favourite have lost 8% points of their chance of making the grand final. Belgium and Slovenia have also seen their odds slip.
The favourites to qualify with at least an 80% chance of qualifying this evening are:
- Australia
- Cyprus
- Czech Republic
- Greece
- Hungary
- Iceland
- Serbia
Challengers from outside of the top ten include Portugal and Belarus. Portugal has shortened considerably thanks to a solid performance at the jury show, and could now make it through at the expense of Slovenia, Belgium or Estonia. While Belarus, looks its strongest since rehearsals began and could take them to their first final since 2017.
Note that the % change and place changes are based on changes since May 13. The current rankings according to Eurovision World are:
- Greece โ 93%
- Australia โ 92% (+1 place, +2%)
- Cyprus โ 90% (-1 place, -2%)
- Iceland โ 86% (-1%)
- Serbia โ 84% (+1 place, +2%)
- Hungary โ 83% (-1 place)
- Czech Republic โ 80
- Slovenia โ 66% (+1 place, -2%)
- Belgium โ 64% (-2 places, -4%)
- Estonia โ 55% (-5%)
- Poland โ 45% (-8%)
- Portugal โ 44% (+7%)
- Belarus โ 37% (+1 place, +8%)
- Georgia โ 33% (-1 place, +3%)
- San Marino โ 26% (-2%)
- Finland โ 14%
- Montenegro โ 7% (-7%)
Source:ย Eurovision World